Travel Stocks And Shares: Risk And Return Assessment
Traders know that oil costs, terrorism, and corporate debt restructuring, things that really cannot be controlled, have a huge influence on the stock market. Many investors stay away from airline shares because of this. They can't regulate one of their biggest expenses (fuel) and an act of terrorism can severely damage the industry.
Why are travel stocks any better? Rising fuel expenses as well as Hurricane Katrina led to lower stock rates for companies like Carnival Corporation and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Those two cruise lines account for about 75 percent of the cruise market, globally.
When George Allen Smith IV, out of Connecticut, vanished when on a Royal Caribbean cruise, the industry received a lot of unfavorable publicity.
Certainly, you will discover many downsides for cruise stocks and shares, but some traders are bullish. Initially, there is no direct indication that the disappearing honeymooner from Connecticut has hurt ticket costs. Values on these stocks and shares also look great.
Carnival Corporation trades at sixteen times estimated 2006 profits. Its historic range is 10 to 30 times earnings. Royal Caribbean trades at fourteen times projected '06 earnings. Its historic range is 5 to twenty-four times earnings. Growth potential is strong as only 4 percent of Americans have ever gone on a cruise.
When considering cruise stocks, don't forget the potential risks. A sharp surge in fuel costs or an additional terrorist attack would likely have a harmful effect on cruise stocks.
If you are unclear about this investment, do you know how to short a stock? This might be a far greater path for you, especially if you're encountering corporate debt restructuring.
I think the risk outweighs the probable reward as I do not anticipate cruise lines to substantially outperform the broader market.
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